
Do you have liquidity? You may want some in 45 days. After totally missing the boat in 2001 and 2008, I am ready to sail this time. If only I knew then what I know now. In 2 weeks I should be rolled over from T Rowe Price to Vanguard. My ROTH should be well on the way to maximizing the 2020 allowance. Aside from a couple of thousand in stocks, the rest will be sitting in cash, in anticipation of the crash (see what I did there, ‘cash/crash’).
Look at the storm clouds we have on the horizon: COVID-19, a sitting President so hated that Bob Woodward’s book has revealed talks of a military coup, the election contest of said President that is guaranteed to be contested, another stimulus package that will completely deplete the lending reserves of this country (in addition to the unprecedented amounts already handed out this year), China’s military flexing it muscle in the Far East, its economic muscle here, and the fact that since June for the first time not all of our nation’s debt is being bought.
If there aren’t wild swings ahead for us in the market I will eat my proverbial hat. What I feel bad for is the people who will not be ready for this, and the mistakes that will be made. When the market loses say 65% of its value over a 2 week period, that is the time to go shopping. Regrettably, many people at or near retirement will panic and sell. People at or within a year of retirement should already have pulled their money out of the market.
For those people 5/10/15/20 years away from retirement, the best thing they could do is just what they’re doing, putting money in every 2 weeks just like they’ve been doing. If they can up the amount they’re putting in when the crash happens, that would be great too. If they want to go down to Coins Stamps ‘N’ Stuff on Hickman and buy a little gold and silver bullion, that’s not a bad idea either. I wouldn’t buy a whole lot, we’re at a market top. A little insurance wouldn’t hurt though, if in 3 years today’s prices seem cheap.